Air Arabia’s 4Q15 results: hedging losses mask solid operational performance; recurring earnings up six-fold Y-o-Y
Air Arabia reported headline earnings of AED56mn, down 14% Y-o-Y but the numbers were deflated by non-recurring items. Fuel hedging losses yet again masked an otherwise solid operational performance with the airline booking AED82mn in losses in the quarter alone in addition to FX losses of AED12mn. In contrast, 4Q14 had FX and hedging gains of AED30mn. Recurring earnings were thus up over six-fold and were 128% above our estimate. Full-year 2015 recurring earnings were up 13% Y-o-Y. Revenue growth was broadly in line (-1%) at 3% Y-o-Y as continued yield pressures offset strong passenger traffic growth (+17% Y-o-Y in 4Q15). Gross margin expanded c8.7pp Y-o-Y with gross profit advancing 91% Y-o-Y (+30% versus estimate) as CoGS fell on lower fuel costs. EBITDA margin advanced a slightly tamer c6.8pp Y-o-Y as SG&A costs grew c46% Y-o-Y. EBITDA was up 52% Y-o-Y, coming in 12% above our estimate. We reiterate our Buy rating on Air Arabia, which remains a key beneficiary of the current low oil price environment. However, headline earnings will likely remain deflated by hedging losses. (Company, Hatem Alaa) Air Arabia (DU): AED1.26 as of 7 February 2016, Rating: Buy, FV: AED1.65 per share, MCap: USD1,602 million, AIRARABI UH / AIRA.DU
This website uses cookies to make the site work, to understand if the site is working well, how it is being used, to connect to social media sites (such as Facebook and Twitter) and to collect information useful to allow us and our partners to provide you with more relevant ads . Some cookies are essential to make the site work, but you can control how we use non-essential cookies at any time by clicking the “ON/OFF” button next to each category. For more information about the cookies used on this site, see Privacy Policy.
Decide which cookies you want to allow.
Strictly Necessary
These cookies are essential in order to enable you to move around our website and use its features, such as accessing secure areas of our website. Without these cookies, any services on our Site you wish to access cannot be provided.
Analytical/performance cookies
Visitors use our website, for instance which pages you go to most often, and if you get error messages from web pages.